senate race stats
Category | Democratic Party | Republican Party | Independents |
Current Seats | 44 | 54 | 2 |
Contested Seats | 10 | 24 | 0 |
Open Seats | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Projected Gains | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Projected Losses | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Projected Seats | 46 | 52 | 2 |
Projected +/- | +2 | -2 | +/-0 |
senate projection summary
State | Democratic Candidate | Republican Candidate | Incumbent Party | Projected Result | Projected Result % |
Alabama | Ron Crumpton | Richard Shelby-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | RS 63.4% RC 36.6% |
Alaska | Mark Begich | Lisa Murkowski-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | LM 58.5% MB 39.25% |
Arizona | Ann Kirkpatrick | John McCain-inc | Republican | Mod GOP Hold | JM 50.6% AK 42.1 % |
Arkansas | Mike Beebe | John Boozman-inc | Republican | Weak GOP Hold | JB 49.9% MB 45.9% |
California | Kamala Harris | Rocky Chavez | Democratic-Open | Strong Dem Hold | KH 52.5% RC 42.3% |
Colorado | Michael Bennet-inc | Daryl Glen | Democratic | Toss Dem Hold | MB 47.9% DG 47.1% |
Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal-inc | August wolf | Democratic | Strong Dem Hold | RB 55.9% AW 41.9% |
Florida | Patrick Murphy | Ron DeSantis | Republican | WEAK DEM GAIN | PM 50.8% RD 48.6% |
Georgia | Derrick Greyson | Johnny Isakson-inc | Republican | Strong GOP Hold | JI 55% DG 42.3% |
Hawaii | Brian Schatz-inc | No Challenger Yet | Democratic | Solid Dem Hold | BS 70.1% GOP 27.6% |
Idaho | No Challenger Yet | Mike Crapo-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | MC 61.8% Dem 34.2% |
Illinois | Tammy Duckworth | Mark Kirk-inc | Republican | Toss GOP Hold | MK 47.7% TD 46.9% |
Indiana | Baron Hill | Eric Holcomb | Republican | Strong GOP Hold | EH 53.7 BH 42.1% |
Iowa | Tom Fiegen | Chuck Grassley-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | CG 61.2% TF 37.5% |
Kansas | Kathleen Sebelius | Jerry Moran-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | JM 61.4% KS 35.1% |
Kentucky | Jack Conway | Rand Paul*-inc | Republican | Mod GOP Hold | RP 53.5% JC 46.5% |
Louisiana | Mary Landrieu | David Vitter**-inc | Republican | Strong GOP Hold | DV 54.4% ML 43.9% |
Maryland | Donna Edwards | Andy Harris | Democratic | Solid Dem Hold | DE 61.9% AH 36.1% |
Missouri | Jason Kander | Roy Blunt-inc | Republican | Mod GOP Hold | RB 52.7% JK 45.3% |
Nevada | Catherine Cortez Masto | Sharron Angle | Democratic | Weak Dem Hold | CCM 51.8% SA 47.6% |
New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan | Kelly Ayotte-inc | Republican | Weak GOP Hold | KA 51.6% MH 46.2% |
New York | Chuck Schumer-inc | Chris Gibson | Democratic | Solid Dem Hold | CS 64.1% CG 34.9% |
North Carolina | Kay Hagan | Richard Burr-inc | Republican | Mod GOP Hold | RB 53.1% KH 45.1 |
North Dakota | George Sinner | John Hoeven-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | JH 67.1% GS 31.3% |
Ohio | Ted Strickland | Rob Portman-inc | Republican | Weak GOP Hold | RP 50.6% TS 47.9% |
Oklahoma | Constance Johnson | Tom Coburn-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | TC 64.1% CJ 34.2% |
Oregon | Ron Wyden-inc | No Challenger Yet | Democratic | Solid Dem Hold | RW 58.5% GOP 38.4% |
Pennsylvania | Joe Sestak | Pat Toomey-inc | Republican | Weak GOP Hold | PT 51.4% JS 48.6% |
South Carolina | No Candidate Yet | Jim DeMint-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | JD 58.3% Dem 36.8% |
South Dakota | Brendan Johnson | John Thune-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | JT 61.2% BJ 36.8% |
Utah | Jim Matheson | Mike Lee-inc | Republican | Solid GOP Hold | ML 59.3% JM 35.7% |
Vermont | Patrick Leahy-inc | No Challenger Yet | Democratic | Solid Dem Hold | PL 65.2% GOP 33.7% |
Washington | Patrick Murray-inc | Dave Reichert | Democratic | Mod Dem Hold | PM 54.9% DR 45.1 |
Wisconsin | Russ Feingold | Ron Johnson-inc | Republican | TOSS DEM GAIN | RF 49.9% RJ 49.4 |
*Running for President
**Running for Governor
CAPS - party takeover
Race ratings:
"Toss" - less than 1%
"Weak" - 1% to under 5%
"Mod" - 5% to under 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - over 15%
Inc-Incumbent
**Running for Governor
CAPS - party takeover
Race ratings:
"Toss" - less than 1%
"Weak" - 1% to under 5%
"Mod" - 5% to under 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - over 15%
Inc-Incumbent